Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Charlie Brenneman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamAMA Fight Club

What's at stake

Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Charlie Brenneman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Beneil DariushNow 1745
If they win+7→ 1752
If they lose-17→ 1728
Charlie BrennemanNow 1599
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-7→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
49%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
58%
Strike defense
47%
2.11
Takedown avg.
4.23
38%
Takedown accuracy
42%
82%
Takedown defense
73%
0.82
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Beneil DariushCharlie Brenneman
1600165017001750180020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
8 (35%)
Submission
5 (26%)
10 (43%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Beneil Dariush88%
Charlie Brenneman 12%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 88% favorite over Charlie Brenneman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1599, a 146-point edge.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Brenneman 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.