Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Manuel Torres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Manuel Torres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Beneil DariushNow 1746
If they win+11→ 1757
If they lose-13→ 1733
Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+18→ 1729
If they lose-14→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
49%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
58%
Strike defense
54%
2.11
Takedown avg.
1.72
38%
Takedown accuracy
67%
82%
Takedown defense
91%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Beneil DariushManuel Torres
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
8 (35%)
Submission
7 (41%)
10 (43%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Torres51%
Beneil Dariush 49%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Torres a 51% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Beneil Dariush's way (45%).

Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1711, a 35-point edge.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Torres 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.