Beneil Dariush vs Michael Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1729
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Beneil DariushMichael Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Beneil Dariush76%
Michael Johnson 24%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 76% favorite over Michael Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1613, a 132-point edge.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.
Beneil Dariush and Michael Johnson share 1 common opponent: Diego Ferreira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.