Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamGorets Fight Club

What's at stake

Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rashid Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Beneil DariushNow 1745
If they win+11→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1732
Rashid MagomedovNow 1728
If they win+13→ 1741
If they lose-11→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
58%
Strike defense
55%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.67
38%
Takedown accuracy
57%
82%
Takedown defense
89%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Beneil DariushRashid Magomedov
1750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
8 (35%)
Submission
1 (4%)
10 (43%)
Decision
15 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Beneil Dariush62%
Rashid Magomedov 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 62% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1728, a 17-point edge.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.

Beneil Dariush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.