Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Beneil DariushNow 1746
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
Rashid MagomedovNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
58%
Strike defense
55%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.67
38%
Takedown accuracy
57%
82%
Takedown defense
89%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Beneil DariushRashid Magomedov
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
8 (35%)
Submission
1 (4%)
10 (43%)
Decision
15 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Beneil Dariush63%
Rashid Magomedov 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 63% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rashid Magomedov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1750), separated by just 4 points.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.

Beneil Dariush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.