Beneil Dariush vs Tony Ferguson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record25-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamKnuckleheadz MMA
What's at stake
Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tony Ferguson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1754
If they lose-15→ 1730
If they win+15→ 1674
If they lose-9→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Beneil DariushTony Ferguson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Beneil Dariush82%
Tony Ferguson 18%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 82% favorite over Tony Ferguson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1659, a 86-point edge.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tony Ferguson enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tony Ferguson 80%.
Beneil Dariush and Tony Ferguson share 1 common opponent: Charles Oliveira.
Tony Ferguson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.