Benny Orozco vs Raycon Matiele
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Raycon Matiele63%
Benny Orozco 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raycon Matiele a 63% favorite over Benny Orozco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Benny Orozco's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1622), separated by just 0 points.
Benny Orozco enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Raycon Matiele enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Benny Orozco finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Raycon Matiele 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'2"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team DumdumayaTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1690 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Benny OrozcoRaycon Matiele