Benoit Saint-Denis vs Dustin Poirier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record30-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Dustin Poirier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Benoit Saint-Denis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1785
If they lose-14→ 1753
If they win+10→ 1822
If they lose-14→ 1798
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1814 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisDustin Poirier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis67%
Dustin Poirier 33%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 67% favorite over Dustin Poirier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Poirier's way (44%).
Dustin Poirier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1767, a 45-point edge.
Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Poirier 77%.
Benoit Saint-Denis and Dustin Poirier share 1 common opponent: Dan Hooker.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.