Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Gregor Gillespie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record14-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+16→ 1783
If they lose-16→ 1751
Gregor GillespieNow 1773
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
59%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
42%
Strike defense
58%
4.19
Takedown avg.
6.86
36%
Takedown accuracy
48%
72%
Takedown defense
100%
1.75
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisGregor Gillespie
17001750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
11 (65%)
Submission
5 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Benoit Saint-Denis63%
Gregor Gillespie 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 63% favorite over Gregor Gillespie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gregor Gillespie's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1773), separated by just 6 points.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gregor Gillespie 86%.

Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.