Benoit Saint-Denis vs Kyle Prepolec
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
What's at stake
Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kyle Prepolec carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1774
If they lose-24→ 1742
If they win+18→ 1586
If they lose-6→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisKyle Prepolec
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis87%
Kyle Prepolec 13%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 87% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1568, a 198-point edge.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.
Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.