Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record18-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
CYFITTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kyle Prepolec carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+8→ 1775
If they lose-24→ 1743
Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-8→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
59%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
42%
Strike defense
49%
4.19
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
40%
1.75
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisKyle Prepolec
160016501700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
11 (65%)
Submission
4 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Benoit Saint-Denis92%
Kyle Prepolec 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 92% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1577, a 190-point edge.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.