Benoit Saint-Denis vs Matt Frevola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamGracie Tampa South
What's at stake
Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Frevola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1777
If they lose-22→ 1745
If they win+22→ 1659
If they lose-10→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisMatt Frevola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis92%
Matt Frevola 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 92% favorite over Matt Frevola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1637, a 130-point edge.
Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Frevola 64%.
Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.