Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Natan Schulte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamAmerican Top Team· avg 1721 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+16→ 1783
If they lose-16→ 1751
Natan SchulteNow 1761
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
4.19
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.75
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisNatan Schulte
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
4 (16%)
11 (65%)
Submission
10 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Benoit Saint-Denis61%
Natan Schulte 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 61% favorite over Natan Schulte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1761), separated by just 6 points.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Natan Schulte 56%.

Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.