Benoit Saint-Denis vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
CYFITTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Niklas Stolze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1793
If they lose-26→ 1761
If they win+26→ 1552
If they lose-6→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis92%
Niklas Stolze 8%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 92% favorite over Niklas Stolze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1526, a 261-point edge.
Benoit Saint-Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.