Benson Henderson vs Brandon Thatch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brandon Thatch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1729
If they lose-14→ 1705
If they win+19→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benson HendersonBrandon Thatch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benson Henderson70%
Brandon Thatch 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 70% favorite over Brandon Thatch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1649, a 70-point edge.
Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Thatch 100%.
Brandon Thatch carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.