Benson Henderson vs Carlos Leal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record23-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
MMA LabTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Benson HendersonCarlos Leal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Leal55%
Benson Henderson 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 55% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Benson Henderson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1719), separated by just 1 points.
Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Leal 62%.
Carlos Leal carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.