Benson Henderson vs Clay Guida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record38-25-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1703
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-8→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benson HendersonClay Guida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benson Henderson87%
Clay Guida 13%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 87% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1599, a 120-point edge.
Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Clay Guida 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.