Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Frankie Edgar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70"Reach 68"
155 lbsWeight136 lbs
MMA LabTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+11→ 1730
If they lose-13→ 1706
Frankie EdgarNow 1692
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-11→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.82
64%
Strike defense
66%
2.40
Takedown avg.
2.29
46%
Takedown accuracy
29%
64%
Takedown defense
66%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Benson HendersonFrankie Edgar
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
9 (30%)
Submission
4 (17%)
16 (53%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Benson Henderson70%
Frankie Edgar 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 70% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1692, a 27-point edge.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Edgar 46%.

Benson Henderson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.