Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Jack Hermansson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record24-10-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach77"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Jack HermanssonNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
64%
Strike defense
57%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.50
46%
Takedown accuracy
30%
64%
Takedown defense
81%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Benson HendersonJack Hermansson
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
9 (30%)
Submission
6 (25%)
16 (53%)
Decision
7 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Hermansson51%
Benson Henderson 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 51% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1721), separated by just 2 points.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.

Jack Hermansson carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.