Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Jorge Masvidal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record35-17-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Jorge Masvidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Benson Henderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+13→ 1732
If they lose-11→ 1708
Jorge MasvidalNow 1740
If they win+11→ 1751
If they lose-13→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
64%
Strike defense
64%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.38
46%
Takedown accuracy
59%
64%
Takedown defense
73%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Benson HendersonJorge Masvidal
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
16 (46%)
9 (30%)
Submission
2 (6%)
16 (53%)
Decision
17 (49%)

Combat Edge model read

Benson Henderson60%
Jorge Masvidal 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 60% favorite over Jorge Masvidal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Masvidal's way (47%).

Jorge Masvidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1719, a 21-point edge.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.

Jorge Masvidal carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.