Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Josh Thomson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record22-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight153 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Thomson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+11→ 1730
If they lose-13→ 1706
Josh ThomsonNow 1684
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
64%
Strike defense
64%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.92
46%
Takedown accuracy
40%
64%
Takedown defense
55%
0.79
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Benson HendersonJosh Thomson
1700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
9 (30%)
Submission
9 (41%)
16 (53%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Benson Henderson70%
Josh Thomson 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 70% favorite over Josh Thomson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1684, a 35-point edge.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Josh Thomson 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.