Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Mark Bocek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark Bocek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+11→ 1730
If they lose-13→ 1706
Mark BocekNow 1697
If they win+17→ 1714
If they lose-15→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
64%
Strike defense
61%
2.40
Takedown avg.
3.65
46%
Takedown accuracy
37%
64%
Takedown defense
31%
0.79
Submission avg.
1.32

Trajectory

Benson HendersonMark Bocek
1700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
9 (30%)
Submission
7 (58%)
16 (53%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Benson Henderson61%
Mark Bocek 39%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Benson Henderson a 61% favorite over Mark Bocek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1697, a 22-point edge.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.