Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Patrick Habirora

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record9-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamRed Kings

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Patrick HabiroraNow 1725
If they win+24→ 1749
If they lose-24→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
2.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.79
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Benson HendersonPatrick Habirora
155016001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
9 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
16 (53%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Habirora61%
Benson Henderson 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Habirora a 61% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1725), separated by just 6 points.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Habirora enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Habirora 89%.

Patrick Habirora carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.