Benson Henderson vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record32-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
Benson Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rafael dos Anjos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-13→ 1708
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Benson HendersonRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos55%
Benson Henderson 45%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 55% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Benson Henderson's way (47%).
Benson Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1698, a 23-point edge.
Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.