Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Rustam Khabilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach40,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Benson Henderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+14→ 1733
If they lose-10→ 1709
Rustam KhabilovNow 1785
If they win+10→ 1795
If they lose-14→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
46%
Strike accuracy
34%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
64%
Strike defense
66%
2.40
Takedown avg.
3.95
46%
Takedown accuracy
42%
64%
Takedown defense
61%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Benson HendersonRustam Khabilov
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
9 (30%)
Submission
5 (21%)
16 (53%)
Decision
15 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Khabilov72%
Benson Henderson 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 72% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1719, a 66-point edge.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.