Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Samandar Murodov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamFight Club Akhmat Tajikistan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benson HendersonNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Samandar MurodovNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
46%
Strike accuracy
81%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
64%
Strike defense
0%
2.40
Takedown avg.
3.01
46%
Takedown accuracy
100%
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.79
Submission avg.
3.01

Trajectory

Benson HendersonSamandar Murodov
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
9 (30%)
Submission
5 (50%)
16 (53%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Samandar Murodov60%
Benson Henderson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Samandar Murodov a 60% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Benson Henderson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Samandar Murodov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Samandar Murodov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.