Combat Edge Intelligence

Benson Henderson vs Tahir Abdullayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record20-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamPhuket Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Tahir AbdullayevNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
2.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.79
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Benson HendersonTahir Abdullayev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
9 (30%)
Submission
7 (35%)
16 (53%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Tahir Abdullayev73%
Benson Henderson 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tahir Abdullayev a 73% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1720), separated by just 1 points.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tahir Abdullayev enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Tahir Abdullayev 90%.

Tahir Abdullayev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.