Bethe Correia vs Karol Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-1Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CM SystemTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Karol Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bethe Correia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579
If they win+10→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bethe CorreiaKarol Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karol Rosa76%
Bethe Correia 24%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 76% favorite over Bethe Correia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Karol Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1593, a 54-point edge.
Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Karol Rosa 32%.
Bethe Correia and Karol Rosa share 2 common opponents: Pannie Kianzad and Irene Aldana.
Karol Rosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.