Combat Edge Intelligence

Bethe Correia vs Raquel Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CM SystemTeamAltitude MMA

What's at stake

Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bethe Correia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bethe CorreiaNow 1593
If they win+20→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1581
Raquel PenningtonNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
56%
Strike defense
61%
0.39
Takedown avg.
0.83
18%
Takedown accuracy
28%
86%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Bethe CorreiaRaquel Pennington
16001650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (25%)
9 (82%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Raquel Pennington70%
Bethe Correia 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 70% favorite over Bethe Correia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1593, a 82-point edge.

Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.

Bethe Correia and Raquel Pennington share 4 common opponents: Pannie Kianzad, Irene Aldana, Holly Holm and Marion Reneau.

Raquel Pennington carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Pannie Kianzad
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Draw Decision · 2017
Marion Reneau
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
LossKO/TKO · 2017
Holly Holm
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
LossSUB · 2019
Irene Aldana
WinDecision (split) · 2019