Combat Edge Intelligence

Bethe Correia vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
CM SystemTeamDamas 013

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bethe CorreiaNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.42
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.39
Takedown avg.
1.53
18%
Takedown accuracy
36%
86%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Bethe CorreiaTainara Lisboa
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
9 (82%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Tainara Lisboa53%
Bethe Correia 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tainara Lisboa a 53% favorite over Bethe Correia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bethe Correia's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1588), separated by just 5 points.

Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Tainara Lisboa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.