Bill Algeo vs Herbert Burns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record11-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach 73"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Titan PATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Bill Algeo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Herbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
If they win+19→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill AlgeoHerbert Burns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bill Algeo66%
Herbert Burns 34%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Bill Algeo a 66% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Bill Algeo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1607, a 57-point edge.
Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bill Algeo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Herbert Burns 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.