Combat Edge Intelligence

Bill Duvall vs David Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-2-0Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Iron Horse GymTeamRoker Rough House MMA

What's at stake

David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Bill Duvall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bill DuvallNow 1447
If they win+26→ 1473
If they lose-22→ 1425
David AllenNow 1469
If they win+22→ 1491
If they lose-26→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bill DuvallDavid Allen
14501500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen70%
Bill Duvall 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 70% favorite over Bill Duvall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1447, a 22-point edge.

Bill Duvall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.