Combat Edge Intelligence

Bill Duvall vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-2-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Iron Horse GymTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bill Duvall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bill DuvallNow 1447
If they win+25→ 1472
If they lose-23→ 1424
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+15→ 1481
If they lose-17→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bill DuvallOndřej Raška
14501500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (100%)
Submission
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška66%
Bill Duvall 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 66% favorite over Bill Duvall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1447, a 19-point edge.

Bill Duvall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.