Bill Duvall vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Iron Horse GymTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bill Duvall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1474
If they lose-21→ 1426
If they win+14→ 1504
If they lose-18→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill DuvallRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker60%
Bill Duvall 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 60% favorite over Bill Duvall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1447, a 43-point edge.
Bill Duvall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.