Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Elekana vs Bogdan Guskov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Billy Elekana
us

Billy Elekana

“Son of Susie”

10-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record18-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Uprising MMATeamGOR MMA

What's at stake

Bogdan Guskov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Billy Elekana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Billy ElekanaNow 1665
If they win+19→ 1684
If they lose-13→ 1652
Bogdan GuskovNow 1733
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
56%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
46%
Strike defense
50%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0.85
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Billy ElekanaBogdan Guskov
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
15 (83%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (17%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov60%
Billy Elekana 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 60% favorite over Billy Elekana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Bogdan Guskov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1665, a 68-point edge.

Billy Elekana enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Billy Elekana finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Bogdan Guskov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.