Billy Elekana vs Bogdan Guskov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record18-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Uprising MMATeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Bogdan Guskov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Billy Elekana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1652
If they win+14→ 1733
If they lose-18→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Guskov51%
Billy Elekana 49%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 51% favorite over Billy Elekana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Bogdan Guskov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1666, a 53-point edge.
Billy Elekana enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Billy Elekana finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Bogdan Guskov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.