Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Elekana vs Misha Cirkunov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Billy Elekana
us

Billy Elekana

“Son of Susie”

10-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Uprising MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Billy ElekanaNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Misha CirkunovNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
56%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
46%
Strike defense
58%
0.85
Takedown avg.
4.15
22%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
77%
0.85
Submission avg.
1.71

Trajectory

Billy ElekanaMisha Cirkunov
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
3 (30%)
Submission
8 (53%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Elekana70%
Misha Cirkunov 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Elekana a 70% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Misha Cirkunov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1670), separated by just 5 points.

Billy Elekana enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Billy Elekana finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.