Billy Evangelista vs Jai Herbert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record14-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamRenegade Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy EvangelistaJai Herbert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jai Herbert70%
Billy Evangelista 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 70% favorite over Billy Evangelista in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Billy Evangelista's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1674), separated by just 0 points.
Billy Evangelista finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Jai Herbert 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.