Billy Quarantillo vs Cub Swanson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record31-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Billy Quarantillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1683
If they lose-9→ 1659
If they win+9→ 1757
If they lose-15→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy QuarantilloCub Swanson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson61%
Billy Quarantillo 39%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 61% favorite over Billy Quarantillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1668, a 80-point edge.
Billy Quarantillo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Cub Swanson 61%.
Billy Quarantillo and Cub Swanson share 1 common opponent: Shane Burgos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.