Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Quarantillo vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie Tampa SouthTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Shane Burgos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Billy Quarantillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Billy QuarantilloNow 1678
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1668
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.36
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
57%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.24
Takedown avg.
0.43
23%
Takedown accuracy
44%
61%
Takedown defense
92%
1.11
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Billy QuarantilloShane Burgos
17001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
5 (28%)
Submission
5 (31%)
5 (28%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Burgos76%
Billy Quarantillo 24%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Burgos a 76% favorite over Billy Quarantillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Shane Burgos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1678, a 55-point edge.

Billy Quarantillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Billy Quarantillo and Shane Burgos share 2 common opponents: Cub Swanson and Edson Barboza.

Shane Burgos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Edson Barboza
LossKO · 2021
LossKO (punch) · 2024
Cub Swanson
WinDEC · 2019