Billy Ray Goff vs Trey Waters
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'5"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dexter MMATeamLudus MMA
What's at stake
Trey Waters is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Billy Ray Goff carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1614
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffTrey Waters
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trey Waters62%
Billy Ray Goff 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 62% favorite over Billy Ray Goff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Trey Waters holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1628, a 50-point edge.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 67%.
Trey Waters carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.