Billy Ray Goff vs Trey Waters
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'5"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Trey Waters is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Billy Ray Goff carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1647
If they lose-14→ 1615
If they win+14→ 1693
If they lose-18→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffTrey Waters
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trey Waters62%
Billy Ray Goff 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 62% favorite over Billy Ray Goff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Trey Waters holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1629, a 50-point edge.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.
Trey Waters carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.