Billy Ray Goff vs Yusaku Kinoshita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Billy Ray Goff is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Yusaku Kinoshita carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-20→ 1609
If they win+20→ 1564
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Billy Ray Goff53%
Yusaku Kinoshita 47%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Billy Ray Goff a 53% favorite over Yusaku Kinoshita in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Billy Ray Goff holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1544, a 85-point edge.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.