Billy Ray Goff vs Yusaku Kinoshita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dexter MMATeamPancrase Inagakigumi
What's at stake
Billy Ray Goff is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yusaku Kinoshita carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1639
If they lose-21→ 1607
If they win+21→ 1548
If they lose-11→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Billy Ray Goff60%
Yusaku Kinoshita 40%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Billy Ray Goff a 60% favorite over Yusaku Kinoshita in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Billy Ray Goff holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1527, a 101-point edge.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.