Bin Xie vs Manuel Exposito
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Exposito67%
Bin Xie 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Exposito a 67% favorite over Bin Xie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bin Xie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Bin Xie finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Exposito 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Tianjin Top TeamTeamEntram Gym· 1670 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bin XieManuel Exposito