BJ Penn vs Caol Uno
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record34-23-5
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamUno Dojo
What's at stake
BJ Penn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Caol Uno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1625
If they lose-14→ 1601
If they win+14→ 1577
If they lose-10→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennCaol Uno
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
BJ Penn78%
Caol Uno 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes BJ Penn a 78% favorite over Caol Uno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
BJ Penn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1563, a 52-point edge.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Caol Uno 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.