BJ Penn vs Caol Uno

Feb 28, 2003 · ESPN+

DateFeb 28, 2003

DivisionLightweight Title

StatusScheduled

VenueAtlantic City Boardwalk Hall

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, February 28, 2003 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Fri 4:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 1:00 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 9:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 10:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:00 AM
Your time

BJ PennThe Prodigy |16-14-2BJ Penn vs Caol UnoCaol Uno34-23-5

BJ PennThe Prodigy16-14-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:05:00

16-14-2Record34-23-5

47Age51

5'9"Height5'7"

70"ReachTBD

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

Lightweight TitleWeight ClassLightweight Title

Caol Uno34-23-5

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

BJ Penn owns a 52-point Elo edge (solid). BJ Penn shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare BJ Penn and Caol Uno across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

BJ PennCaol Uno

Recent form

BJ PennL L L L L · -65 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Caol UnoL L L W L · -56 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Elo edge

BJ Penn1615-12 last move

Caol Uno1563-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

BJ PennNot on the active ladder · 1615 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Matt Hughes (rated 1849 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Frankie Edgar (rated 1673 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -65 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1525, not 1615: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Caol UnoNot on the active ladder · 1563 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Markus Held (rated 1484 at the time): +10.
Costliest loss: Lost to Shota Takagi (rated 1500 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -56 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1513, not 1563: 50 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

BJ PennNow 1615

Wins by decision+10→ 1625

Loses by decision-14→ 1601

Caol UnoNow 1563

Wins by decision+14→ 1577

Loses by decision-10→ 1553

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

BJ PennvsCaol Uno

Takedown average

1.19vs2.42

Takedown defense

75%vs38%

Takedown accuracy

55%vs31%

Submission average

0.51vs0.24

Finishing profile

BJ PennKO/TKO leads 44% of wins

Caol Unosubmission leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

Din ThomasBJ Penn: win · Knee & Punches · Jun 29, 2001Caol Uno: win · Decision · Sep 27, 2002

Jens PulverBJ Penn: win · Rear Naked Choke · Jun 23, 2007Caol Uno: loss · Decision · Feb 23, 2001

Din ThomasBJ Penn: win · Knee & Punches · Jun 29, 2001Caol Uno: win · Rear Naked Choke · Sep 5, 1999

Tale of the tape

BJ PennCaol Uno

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.76Sig. strikes landed per min2.15

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

49Sig. strike accuracy55

UFC featherweight average : 46%

3.20Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.83

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

57Sig. strike defense51

UFC featherweight average : 54%

1.19Takedown average2.42

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

55Takedown accuracy31

UFC featherweight average : 29%

75Takedown defense38

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.51Submission average0.24

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

7Wins by knockout3

6Wins by submission18

3Wins by decision13

4Losses by knockout9

1Losses by submission3

9Losses by decision11

BJ Penn vs Caol Uno is a scheduled Lightweight Title fight on UFC 41 : Tim Sylvia VS Ricco Rodriguez. BJ Penn enters with a 16-14-2 record and Caol Uno enters with a 34-23-5 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.