Combat Edge Intelligence

Blood Diamond vs Ilya Kotau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Blood Diamond
zw

Blood Diamond

“Blood Diamond”

3-5-0WelterweightHEX

1460Average

Tale of the tape

3-5-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
76"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Ilya Kotau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Blood Diamond carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Blood DiamondNow 1460
If they win+25→ 1485
If they lose-23→ 1437
Ilya KotauNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Blood DiamondIlya Kotau
1450150015502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilya Kotau63%
Blood Diamond 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilya Kotau a 63% favorite over Blood Diamond in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ilya Kotau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1460, a 18-point edge.

Blood Diamond enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Ilya Kotau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Blood Diamond finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Blood Diamond carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.