Combat Edge Intelligence

Blood Diamond vs Stevie Lynch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Blood Diamond
zw

Blood Diamond

“Blood Diamond”

3-5-0WelterweightHEX

1461Average

Tale of the tape

3-5-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
City KickboxingTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Blood DiamondNow 1461
If they win+25→ 1486
If they lose-23→ 1438
Stevie LynchNow 1475
If they win+23→ 1498
If they lose-25→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
55%
Strike accuracy
25%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.06
49%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Blood DiamondStevie Lynch
145015001550200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Stevie Lynch67%
Blood Diamond 33%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Lynch a 67% favorite over Blood Diamond in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1461 vs 1475), separated by just 14 points.

Blood Diamond enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Blood Diamond finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Lynch 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.