Bo Nickal vs Douglas Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record33-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bo NickalDouglas Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Nickal75%
Douglas Lima 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 75% favorite over Douglas Lima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Douglas Lima's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1748), separated by just 3 points.
Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Lima 79%.
Bo Nickal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.