Combat Edge Intelligence

Bo Nickal vs Jamie Pickett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Pickett
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Jamie Pickett

“The Nightwolf”

13-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record13-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach 80"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamThe HitPit Martial Arts

What's at stake

Bo Nickal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jamie Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bo NickalNow 1745
If they win+8→ 1753
If they lose-24→ 1721
Jamie PickettNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-8→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
61%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
60%
Strike defense
50%
3.10
Takedown avg.
1.26
56%
Takedown accuracy
40%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
2.48
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Bo NickalJamie Pickett
1550160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Bo Nickal92%
Jamie Pickett 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 92% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Bo Nickal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1556, a 189-point edge.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Pickett 69%.

Bo Nickal and Jamie Pickett share 1 common opponent: Kyle Daukaus.

Jamie Pickett carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2026
Kyle Daukaus
LossSubmission · 2022