Combat Edge Intelligence

Bo Nickal vs Karlos Vemola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karlos Vemola
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Karlos Vemola

“The Terminator”

37-8-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1738Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record37-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bo NickalNow 1745
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729
Karlos VemolaNow 1738
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
62%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
60%
Strike defense
38%
3.12
Takedown avg.
1.93
5%
Takedown accuracy
26%
100%
Takedown defense
31%
2.27
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Bo NickalKarlos Vemola
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
4 (44%)
Submission
20 (54%)
1 (11%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Bo Nickal78%
Karlos Vemola 22%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 78% favorite over Karlos Vemola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1738), separated by just 7 points.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.