Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Bo Nickal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kyle Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1760
If they lose-17→ 1728
If they win+17→ 1733
If they lose-15→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bo NickalKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Nickal56%
Kyle Daukaus 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 56% favorite over Kyle Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Bo Nickal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1716, a 29-point edge.
Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Bo Nickal and Kyle Daukaus share 1 common opponent: Jamie Pickett.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.