Bo Nickal vs Lyle Beerbohm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record24-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamBJJ Spokane
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bo NickalLyle Beerbohm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Nickal71%
Lyle Beerbohm 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 71% favorite over Lyle Beerbohm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1742), separated by just 2 points.
Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lyle Beerbohm enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Lyle Beerbohm 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.