Combat Edge Intelligence

Bo Nickal vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bo NickalNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
61%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
60%
Strike defense
65%
3.10
Takedown avg.
1.05
56%
Takedown accuracy
43%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
2.48
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Bo NickalMichael Bisping
1700175020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (7%)
1 (11%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Bo Nickal77%
Michael Bisping 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 77% favorite over Michael Bisping in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1741), separated by just 3 points.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.